In 2012, the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan adopted the strategy “Kazakhstan-2050”, which determines the direction of long-term economic development in the country.

In may 2013, a “Concept for the transition of the Republic of Kazakhstan to a “green economy” was adopted, with ambitious goals, according to which by 2050 the structure of generating capacity by 50% should consist of energy sources alternative to coal and oil, including gas, nuclear and renewable energy sources. The government of the Republic of Kazakhstan plans to achieve this by gradually decommissioning outdated infrastructure, expanding the use of “alternative” fuel, installing energy-efficient technological equipment and complying with strict environmental standards.

 

 

Thus, the Concept of transition to a “green economy” defines the following strategic goals for the development of renewable energy in Kazakhstan:

✓ 3% share of renewable energy sources (hereinafter — RES) in total electricity production by 2020;

✓ 10% share of RES in total electricity production by 2030;

✓ 50% share of low-carbon alternatives and RES.

The strategic development plan of the Republic of Kazakhstan until 2025, approved by the decree of the President of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated February 15, 2018 № 636, set a target indicator for achieving a 6% share in RES electricity from the total electricity production by 2025.

The order of the Minister of energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated November 7, 2016 № 478 approved the Targets for the development of renewable energy sector until 2020, with the overall goal to increase the total installed capacity of renewable energy facilities to 1700 megawatts (hereinafter-MW) by 2020 (3%).

Target indicators of development of renewable energy

In order to successfully develop RES in Kazakhstan, taking into account international experience, amendments and additions to the Law of the Republic of Kazakhstan on support of RES were made in 2013. Thus, in accordance with the Law of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated July 4, 2013 № 128-V “On amendments and additions to some legislative acts of the Republic of Kazakhstan on support of the use of renewable energy sources” RFC carries out in the manner provided by this Law on support of renewable energy, centralized purchase and sale of electricity produced by facilities for the use of renewable energy sources and delivered to the electric grid of the unified electric power system of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Later, the decree of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan № 1281 dated November 29, 2013 defined RFC settlement and financial center for the support of renewable energy sources.

By the resolution of the Government of the Republic of Kazakhstan dated June 12, 2014 № 645 were approved fixed tariffs for a period of 15 years. In July 2017, the Law on support of RES was amended and introduced a mechanism of auction bidding for the selection of RES projects. The maximum auction prices for the auction were set at the level of fixed tariffs.

Hydropower is the second largest source of electricity production in Kazakhstan, which, according to 2017, accounts for about 10.9% of the total generating capacity of Kazakhstan. In absolute terms of potential hydro resources Kazakhstan ranks third among the CIS countries. The hydropower potential of Kazakhstan is estimated at about 170 billion kWh per year, technically feasible — 62 billion kWh. The hydro potential of medium and large rivers is 55 billion kWh, small rivers — 7.6 billion kWh per year.6 Meanwhile, the technically possible potential for the use of small hydropower plants is about 8 billion kWh. Hydropower resources are distributed throughout the country, but among them there are three particularly large areas: the Irtysh river basin with the main tributaries (Bukhtarma, UBA, Ulba, Kurchum, karjil), the South-Eastern zone with the Ili river basin and the southern zone — the Syr Darya, Talas and Chu river basins.

 

Currently, as of 2018, Kazakhstan has 65 RES, including:

✓ WES – 12; ✓ SES – 19; ✓ HES – 33; ✓ Bioes – 1.

The total installed capacity is 427.45 MW, including:

✓ WPP — 121.45 MW;

✓ small HPPs — 198.2 MW;

✓ SES — 107.5 MW;

✓ Bioes– 0.3 MW.

 

Electricity generation from renewable energy facilities in 2017 — 1102.4 million kWh (1.08%):

✓ WPP — 339 million kWh;

✓ small HPPs — 649.1 million kWh;

✓ SES — 114.3 million kWh;

✓ Bioes – 0.06 million kWh.

State support of investments in RES development

To attract private investment in the renewable energy sector in the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Law on support of renewable energy provides for the following measures to support investors:

✓ the single buyer of electricity from RES is the RFC, created at JSC “Kazakhstan company for management of electric networks “KEGOC»;

✓ investors are guaranteed the purchase of the entire volume of RES energy at auction prices for 15 years at the conclusion of the purchase agreement with the RFC;

✓ auction prices are subject to annual indexation starting from the second year of electricity generation: 70% on the exchange rate of the national currency to convertible currencies and 30% on the consumer price index;

✓ renewable energy producers are exempt from payment for electricity transmission from renewable energy sources;

✓ financial settlement of imbalances from re implementing RFTS;

✓ producers of renewable energy is granted priority dispatch in the transmission of electrical energy;

✓ regional transmission organization is not entitled to refuse connection of renewable energy because of the unavailability of the network;

✓ the costs of reconstruction and expansion of the network are borne by the power transmission organization;

✓ for conducting auctions for the selection of renewable energy projects reserved plots of land and the point of connection to the network;

✓ the legislation provides for investment preferences.

Forecast balance of electric power of the Unified Power System of the Republic of Kazakhstan for an hour of the coincident maximum of load in the period

from 2018 to 2024

South zone
MW
 
 

No.

Name

Forecast

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

 

Demand

3942

4061

4234

4363

4493

4612

4709

1

Maximum electric load

3650

3760

3920

4040

4160

4270

4360

2

Required power reserve

292

301

314

323

333

342

349

 

Generation

1

Existing stations, taking into account the capacity disposal

1.1

Installed capacity

3376

3375

3375

3375

3273

3100

3100

1.2

Available capacity

2655

2655

2656

2663

2609

2443

2450

1.3

Unused capacity

117

116

116

116

116

116

116

1.4

Deficiency (+), excess (-) not including the necessary reserve

1111

1221

1380

1493

1667

1943

2026

1.5

Deficiency (+), excess (-) including the necessary reserve

1403

1522

1694

1816

2000

2285

2375

2

Planned capacity commissioning

2.1

Installed capacity

339

582

1008

1209

1634

1838

2043

2.2

Available capacity

313

516

950

1150

1576

1780

1984

2.3

Unused capacity

276

455

831

1032

1233

1437

1641

3

Total (available and planned)

3.1

Installed capacity

3715

3957

4383

4584

4908

4939

5143

3.2

Available capacity

2968

3172

3606

3813

4185

4223

4435

3.3

Unused capacity

393

572

948

1149

1349

1553

1758

3.4

Deficiency (+), excess (-) not including the necessary reserve

1075

1160

1262

1375

1324

1600

1683

3.5

Deficiency (+), excess (-) including the necessary reserve

1367

1461

1576

1698

1657

1942

2032

Forecast balance of electric power of the Unified Power System

of the Republic of Kazakhstan in the period from 2018 to 2024

South zone

bln. kWh

No.

NAME

FORECAST

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

1.

Electric power consumption

20,6

21,2

22,0

22,5

22,9

23,3

23,7

2.

Electric power generation

11,4

12,1

13,3

13,9

14,9

14,3

14,8

3.

Existing stations

10,4

10,3

10,4

10,4

10,3

9,2

9,3

4.

Planned

1,1

1,7

2,9

3,4

4,6

5,1

5,6

5.

RES

0,8

1,2

1,6

2,1

2,6

3,1

3,5

6.

Deficiency (+),excess (    -)

9,1

9,1

8,7

8,6

8,0

9,0

8,8

Balances of power and electricity in the Almaty region for the future periods up to 2024 are calculated taking into account the accepted levels of electric power consumption, electrical loads and the development of generating capacities according to the minimum industry development scenario.

65% of the hydropower resources reserves of the mountain rivers of Kazakhstan are concentrated in Almaty region.